In the included chart, you will see each team, their win-loss record and the PossessionPoints measure of relative performance which is colored green, yellow or red. A green chart indicates a positive and strong team performance. A yellow chart indicates a mediocre to fair performance and a red chart tells the tale of trouble ahead.
These Performance Ratings are unique because they are based on in-game stats that are present in each game every week. Not present in these performance ratings are any opinion and or subjective measure of any type.
At the bottom of the pack this week are the same teams as last week: the Bills, 49ers, Dolphins and Jets. The real interest is starting to be with the crowd of teams who have near .500 records. Someone, somewhere has go to break out of this congested pack. NFC 5-6 teams with positive RPM are led by the Eagles who are 8th on our chart and whose performance numbers have been better than their record all season. They are followed by the Saints and Cardinals who also have 5-6 records and are 13th and 14th on our chart. The Lions, who are 6-5 with a negative RPM and are 17th on our list, should be looking over their shoulders at the teams with the positive RPM who are looking for an opportunity to snatch the playoff spot away from them.
Since last week, the Cardinals position has gotten shakier. In Week 11, we had them winning their division, but in Week 12, after losing a game we thought they would win, the Cardinals’ projected record has dropped to 8-8 leaving them out of the playoffs. Also in the NFC, we now see the Saints and Giants as the wildcard teams which figures since they are two of the teams with positive RPMs.
In the AFC, our projected playoff picture remains unchanged. We see the Patriots, Colts, Steelers and Chargers winning their divisions with the Jaguars and Browns as the wildcard teams.
See our chart below with the projected final records of all the NFC and AFC teams.
Again, we welcome comments, questions and feedback.
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